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Tick Data Intelligence — 05 of 13

The Cost of
Moving Size.

Anyone can see the order book. Almost no one knows what it costs to take it.

Walk-the-book on the reconstructed limit order book, replayed across 22 trading days on 25 of SET's most-traded mainboard common stocks. POV impact curves, time-of-day patterns, refill dynamics, and capacity tiers — the questions a live snapshot cannot answer.

25
Stocks
22
Trading Days
6
POV Levels
10 L
Book Depth
ⓘ About the sample
All numbers in this chapter come from one month (22 trading days) of SET tick data, covering the 25 most-traded mainboard common stocks. This is a narrow window. Liquidity, spreads, and refill behavior all shift across regimes — the patterns here should be read as a snapshot, not a long-run characterization. A multi-quarter sample would be needed to confirm whether the cost tiers, capacity ranges, and time-of-day curves hold up.
The Question

"How much will my order move the price?"

The order book on a trader's terminal shows the current state — bids and offers stacked at each level. What it doesn't show is what happens when you take it.

These are not snapshot questions. They need simulated execution against the full reconstructed book, replayed across many days.

The Floor

There is no free zone.

A common assumption: small orders are free. They cross one tick of spread and the market maker eats it. Not quite. Even the smallest order pays the half-spread. For a stock pinned at 1 tick — which is most of the SET book (Chapter 4) — the half-spread is the cost floor. Every order pays at least this much, no matter how tiny.

Symbol Tick (bps) 0.5% POV impact 5% POV impact 25% POV impact
DELTA3518 bps54 bps127 bps
PTTEP4120 bps29 bps108 bps
GULF4421 bps43 bps108 bps
AOT~4222 bps22 bps52 bps
RS8744 bps145 bps272 bps

Read DELTA's row: a 0.5%-of-daily-volume order costs ~18 bps — about half a tick. That is not impact. That's just crossing the spread. Impact starts above the floor.

Where the Cliff Is

Push the order up, and cost stops scaling linearly.

Each stock has its own cliff — the POV at which depth runs out and the next slice has to walk through L2, L3, and beyond.

POV Impact Curves — AOT, DELTA, RS
POV impact curves for AOT, DELTA, and RS — showing flat, steady-climb, and cliff profiles
Three liquidity profiles. Same simulation, different depth.

AOT (deep liquidity): flat at 22 bps from 0.5% to 5% POV. Climbs only to 52 bps at 25% POV. The book is so deep that even big orders barely move price.

DELTA (medium): flat at 18 bps until 1%, then climbs steadily — 54 bps at 5%, 127 bps at 25%. Typical of an active large-cap with concentrated L1.

RS (shallow): 44 bps even at 0.5%, jumps to 145 bps at 5%, 272 bps at 25%. Wide tick, thin book — every order is expensive, big orders prohibitive.

Same chart could be drawn for every stock. The shape is always the same; the cliff just sits at different POV thresholds and different heights.

The Heatmap

Across the universe: where can I move size cheaply?

For a portfolio manager, the question is rarely one stock. Sorted top-to-bottom by 5% POV cost (cheapest at top), three regimes emerge.

POV Impact Heatmap — 25 Stocks × 6 POV Levels
Heatmap of 25 SET stocks by 6 POV levels, color-coded by impact in basis points
Sorted by 5% POV cost ascending. Grey = order cannot be filled inside visible book.

Top of the table (PTT, KBANK, AOT, SCB, KTB): green across nearly all POV levels. These are the liquid spine of the SET — large size moves through with under 50 bps cost up to 10% POV.

Middle (CPALL, BDMS, GULF, PTTEP, INTUCH): green at small sizes, amber at 10–25% POV. Standard institutional execution territory.

Bottom (RS, EA, VGI, HMPRO, SCGP, CCET): red at modest sizes. Small-cap liquidity — only retail-scale orders avoid significant cost.

Grey cells = not fillable inside the visible book. Some stocks at 25% POV simply don't have enough depth in 10 levels to absorb the order at all.

Time of Day

Same stock, same POV, different cost by the hour.

The book is thin at the open, thickens through the morning, steady through the afternoon, and tightens slightly into the close.

DELTA — Cost by Hour, at 1% / 5% / 10% POV
DELTA intraday cost curve at 1, 5, and 10 percent POV by hour of day
Bangkok local time, lunch break excluded.
Hour (Bangkok) 1% POV 5% POV 10% POV
10:00 (open)20 bps68 bps97 bps
11:0018 bps59 bps94 bps
12:0018 bps53 bps88 bps
14:0018 bps50 bps80 bps
15:0018 bps46 bps80 bps
16:00 (close)18 bps45 bps73 bps

Small orders (1% POV) barely care — half-spread is half-spread. Larger orders (5%, 10%) save 20–25 bps by waiting for the afternoon. On a 100M THB order, that's 20–25K THB recovered by waiting two hours.

A live LOB snapshot cannot tell you this. A trader can only know the cost shape by replaying many days.

Refill Speed

When L1 gets hit, how fast does it come back?

Across 22 days, every L1 quantity drop ≥ 50% was tracked, with the timer running until L1 recovered to ≥ 80% of its pre-drop size.

L1 Refill Time by Stock
Bar chart of L1 refill time in seconds by stock, sorted ascending
Median refill time across 22 trading days.
Symbol Refill rate Median refill time P95 refill time
CCET26%0.2s25.0s
RS28%2.0s31.7s
DELTA14%0.9s25.6s
EA15%0.7s26.4s
AOT8%6.5s48.3s
PTT10%10.8s54.0s

1. Most L1 drops never refill at the same price. Refill rate is 8–28% across the board. The other 72–92% of the time, the price moved before liquidity returned. This is why eyeballing live L1 is misleading — what you see is not what the next slice will see.

2. When refill happens, it's usually fast. Median refill time is sub-2-second for the active names. This tells you slice timing — fast-refill names tolerate sub-second slicing; slow-refill names need bigger time gaps.

Capacity

How big can I go before cost eats my edge?

For each stock, find the largest POV where median impact stays below 25 bps. That's the practical execution capacity at a 25 bps cost ceiling.

Capacity by Stock — Max POV at 25 bps Cost Ceiling
Bar chart of capacity (max POV at 25 bps cost) by stock, sorted descending
Higher bar = more headroom for institutional execution.
Capacity tier Stocks Max POV at 25 bps
DeepestAOT10% POV
DeepCPALL, SCB, KBANK, KTB5% POV
StandardGULF, BH, IVL, PTTEP, BDMS2% POV
TightDELTA, MINT, COM7, PTTGC1% POV
Below floorEA, RS, TOP, TRUE, PTT, VGI, SCGP, HMPRO, CCET, TTB, WHAhalf-spread > 25 bps

The "below floor" group is striking. These stocks have a tick-pinned spread where half-spread alone exceeds 25 bps — meaning a 25 bps cost budget is unachievable for any size, even a 1-share order. PTT is the most extreme: deep enough to absorb 25% POV at only 41 bps, but the half-spread floor is already 40 bps. Most of the cost is paying to cross the spread, not impact.

This is what Chapter 4's tick-grid finding looks like in trading terms: the binding tick is the cost.

The Decomposition

Most of the cost is just crossing the spread.

The instinct: execution cost is impact — the price moving away because of your order. The data says otherwise. For most SET stocks at typical institutional sizes, half-spread alone is 50–100% of total execution cost. Impact is the smaller component.

Symbol POV Total cost Half-spread Spread share Impact share
AOT5%22 bps~22~100%~0%
CPALL5%23 bps2296%4%
KBANK5%16 bps~16~100%~0%
PTTEP5%29 bps2069%31%
GULF5%43 bps2149%51%
DELTA5%54 bps1833%67%
PTT25%41 bps4098%2%

For PTT at 25% POV — moving a quarter of a day's volume in a megacap — only 1 bps of the 41 bps cost is impact. The other 40 bps is just paying to cross the spread.

This has a hard implication: you cannot optimize your way under the half-spread floor. Better algos, smarter slicing, faster execution — none of it changes what every order pays to cross the spread once. The tick grid (Chapter 4) is therefore not just a microstructure curiosity. It is the dominant component of the bill an institutional desk pays to trade SET names.

Two chapters, one mechanism — Ch 4: the tick grid pins the spread at 1 tick. Ch 5: that 1-tick spread is the majority of execution cost. Execution skill matters above the floor. The floor itself is set by the exchange's tick rules, not by anything a trader can control.

What This Unlocks

Four levers, one lookup table.

Once you have impact-by-POV-by-time-of-day-by-stock, the trading desk gains four levers.

Lever 01 — Order Sizing

Slice the elephant.

Split a 100M THB PTTEP order. Sending it as one 25% POV trade costs ~108 bps = 1.08M THB. Splitting into 5×5%-POV slices over 5 days costs ~29 bps each.

Savings: 355K THB on this single order.
Lever 02 — Stock Selection

Same alpha, lower bill.

Same alpha signal in two names — pick the lower-impact one. A 30 bps signal in DELTA (5% POV → 54 bps) is worthless. A 30 bps signal in CPALL (5% POV → 23 bps) clears 7 bps net.

31 bps cost differential, same edge.
Lever 03 — Slice Timing

Wait for the cheap window.

Execute in the cheap window. DELTA at 5% POV: open costs 68 bps, late afternoon costs 45 bps. The shape of the day is a free lookup if you have the history.

23 bps free for waiting.
Lever 04 — Capacity Sizing

Strategy AUM ceilings.

A long-bias strategy in mid-tier names (PTTEP, BDMS, IVL) is capped near 2% POV per name before cost starts compounding. Capacity is not "what fits in the book" — it's "what fits at your cost budget."

Capacity is a cost question, not a depth question.

Scaled to a fund: 10B THB annual turnover × 20 bps average impact reduction = 20M THB / year recovered execution cost.

Snapshot vs Simulation

Every trader has the live book. Almost no one has the second column.

What you need Live snapshot LOB Simulation + history
See current depth
Cost of walking through it×
Median cost across the day×
Time-of-day pattern×
Refill dynamics×
Capacity planning×

The platform that delivers the second column is what turns the order book from a display into a decision tool.

Honest Caveats

What this analysis does not claim.

Read these before citing the numbers.

  • Sample is one month (22 trading days) of SET data on the 25 most-traded mainboard common stocks. This is a narrow window. Liquidity, spreads, and refill behavior all shift across regimes — earnings season, index rebalances, macro shocks, and volatility regimes can all change the numbers materially. The patterns shown here are a snapshot, not a long-run characterization of SET microstructure. A multi-quarter sample would be needed to confirm whether the cost ranges, capacity tiers, and time-of-day curves hold across regimes.
  • Walk-the-book assumes the book stays static during execution. In reality, other participants react — refill arrives mid-trade, or other takers race ahead. Walk-the-book is an upper bound on cost; live algos do better via timing and passive posting.
  • Snapshots are taken every 30 seconds. Sub-snapshot dynamics (flash depletions) are not captured.
  • POV is computed against same-day total volume, which a trader doesn't know in advance. In practice, POV would be estimated from historical averages.
  • The 25 bps capacity threshold is illustrative; real budgets vary by strategy.
  • Top-tier buy-side desks already run TCA tools that produce numbers like these. The value here is for mid-tier funds without an in-house TCA team, brokers proving execution quality, and demonstrating what the underlying data infrastructure makes possible.

This study uses licensed market data obtained through commercial agreement. Infozense is not affiliated with the Stock Exchange of Thailand. No market data is distributed through this website. This content is for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Next Chapter

How Much Signal Is in L1?

Chapter 6 measures short-horizon mid-price predictability across 5 depth configurations and 6 horizons. The headline: deeper book hurts. L1 alone is the best predictor at every horizon.

Continue to Chapter 6
← Why the Spread Doesn't Move
Ch 5 of 13
How Much Signal Is in L1? →